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Unidentified Flying Oranges


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Before I begin this let me say that I have no scientific credentials whatsoever, and you should take this entire entry with a grain of... sugar. But if you know me, you can trust that I've read enough to feel pretty confident with what I'm saying here.

So here's my question: if the universe is so huge and teeming with stars and planets... where are the UFO visitors?

Some would say "they're visiting us right now, what about the UFO sightings?"

Okay here's where the grain of sugar comes in, and with it, my answer: Whatever they are they're not from another planet. They are something else, maybe. But not from another planet. No way.

Here is why I think so. It's not anything new, but I defy you to brush it off.

If you go to http://www.exploratorium.edu/ronh/solar_system/ you'll find a really interesting calculator. It lets you pretend to scale down the solar system... like if you wanted to pretend the sun was the diameter of a mandarine orange, let's say. (about three inches). The program scales the rest of the planet sizes, distances, etc. and also scales down the speed of light, and the distances to all the other nearby stars, including the closest one, which is Alpha Centauri.

In real life, this star (actually a group of three stars orbiting each other, the closest of which is actually called Prima Centauri) is about four and a half light years away.

That's really hard to picture in your head. I can't even convert it to miles without that annoyng +E thingy on the calculator. (I never did understand what that +E thingy is supposed to mean.) After some web searching I found the answer in real numbers. It's approximately 24,792,710,570,269,624 miles away. Yes that's almost twenty five quadrillion miles.

But try to picture that.

You can't. So keep reading.

The sun in real life is 862,400 miles across, or about 2.7 million miles around if you wanted to drive your melting car around it. So that's the sun.

The earth is 7901 miles in diameter. Or about 24,901 miles in circumference. It'd be some kind of cool, James Bond boat car.

The Sun and Earth are at least 91 million miles from each other. (This distance increases during the year, but who cares.)

Okay, so got that pictured in your head? Of course you don't. I don't either. So let's use the calculator...

If I made a model of the solar sytem and used a mandarine orange as the sun, the earth would be very teeny. Half a millimeter. Maybe the size of a grain of sugar. Then the distance from us to the sun would be 26 feet. That's easier to picture. An orange, a grain of sugar, and the length of your house. (pluto, by the way, would be 1062 feet away from the orange, and would be practically invisible to the naked eye, that's if it were still a planet. Poor Pluto.)

Okay, got that? I do. Next we want to figure out how far away the nearest star would be. Perhaps there's a chance this star has planets, maybe one with life. Not likely, since there are a hundred billion other, vastly more distant stars in our galaxy alone. (A galaxy, by the way, is one of those disk things that looks like a hurricane cloud. We live in one called the Milky Way. Galaxies look fuzzy like smoke. The fuzzy smokey stuff is stars. There are hundreds of billions of other galaxies in the rest of space that we can detect; the universe.)

Got that? Ok. A very large disk thing (the Milky way, about 12 million miles across even at this scale, where in a teeny corner there exists...), an orange (the sun), and a grain of sugar (our planet Earth) circling it about 26 feet away.

Now just take a moment and try to imagine spotting this grain of sugar even from a few feet away. Maybe pretend you're planet hunting. Okay, now let's move on.

So one would think that given the huge number of stars in our disk thing (galaxy) we would be bumping into stars all the time... or at least running into UFO's from all the jillions of planets that must be out there. But here's the thing:

I was talking earlier about that closest star from us (actually 3 orbiting each other) Alpha Centauri, and how far away it is, right? The closest star. The one that you'd try first if you were flying around looking for more sugar planets.

It's really far away. Remember? Twenty five quadrillion miles. But how far away is it when you scale things down?

Much closer. If the Earth were the size of a grain of sugar, the nearest star would be only 1374.1 miles away. Piece of cake. Like from Toronto to Miami. (actually Toronto to Miami is 1237 miles, but close enough) I can imagine doing that trip in a few days in the car.

So here's the rub. Now we have to consider how fast you can fly. What's the fastest possible speed according to physics? It's the speed of light. That's not a rumour, it's a fact. (actually a theory, but a theory isn't merely a guess like most people commonly use the word in everyday English. Not when it comes to science. Not even close. The speed of light as a universal speed limit is part of the General Theory of Relativity, which has been tested and proved correct by experiments, and in fact GPS locators count on this theory or you'd never find your way to Miami)

The Speed of light. That's it. Nothing can travel faster than that. (Well you could in a sense, but let's put it this way, if you travelled that fast, time outside the space ship would speed (or put another way, time inside the ship would slow down) up to such a point that you would greet infinity and probably witness the end of the universe. Not only that, your ship would become as flat as a CD, though you and it would still function perfectly. Einstein understood it, I don't really, but go read about it if you like. It's amazing and strains the edges of your brain. And that's without the math, which I understand none of, as you probably believe when you think about me and calculators.) So you can't fly that fast without disappearing into the ends of time and turning into a pancake. Nothing can.

But even if you could...

The speed of light isn't really all that fast when you scale things down. If the Sun were the size of an orange, a beam of light would radiate outward from it at only 1/2 an inch per second. Do that with your finger. Try flying from one end of your computer keyboard to the other end at 1/2 an inch per second. On my little laptop keyboard it took about 23 seconds. (try counting one one thousand... two one thousand... as your finger crosses about an inch) Now how far is it from the Sun to the Earth at this scale again? Oh yeah, about 26 feet. The length of your house. Do you have to patience to try that? I don't but I know how long it would take you. It would take you the same amount of time it takes in real life for light to reach us from the sun. It's about 8 minutes. Try it with the finger test, I dare you. Remember your finger is travelling at the speed of light. Which isn't possible. You have an amazing finger. (and if you think that's odd, how about the fact that when you look at the sun you're seeing 8 minutes into the past)

Okay. So the next thing is this: How far away is the nearest star? How far would you have to drag your finger to get there? Oh yeah... I remember. Miami. You'd have to drag your finger to miami at 1/2 inch per second.

It would take you 4.2 years.

That's If you could travel at the speed of light, which you can't, without a bunch of weird Einstein stuff happening. End of the universe and all that.

But even if we pulled it off...

we would be looking for grains of sugar. In the dark. Without a map or GPS. And when you found a grain of sugar there would be no life there, so you'd move on to the next star which is...

in Hawaii. Or Australia...

And those are the close ones. There aren't very many. Most are hundreds or thousands or millions of times farther away. So that's the thing. A lot of work to find another Orange and maybe a grain of sugar.

So if you are a betting person, the best chance is that are our little blue grain of sugar will remain unnoticed, circling our little yellow orange for the rest of its days, until, finally, one day, billions of years from now, it will expand to the size of a house, and swallow us up, and you can call me Sunny D.

Sweet.


10 Responses to “Unidentified Flying Oranges”

  1. Anonymous Anonymous 

    haha, brilliant buddy.

  2. Anonymous Anonymous 

    Very well written, Dave.

    By the way - an equation exists to estimate the likelihood of there being intelligent life in the universe. It skates along the border between science and science fiction but is still pretty interesting and makes perfect sense.

  3. Anonymous Anonymous 

    Very entertaining post! You left out something, how long would it take if your finger were traveling at.... Dark Speed? ;)

  4. Anonymous Anonymous 

    Well, that's interesting. I suppose if you were travelling at the speed of dark (which is exactly why I named it Dark Speed, I guess that's obvious... it doesn't sound especially fast) But then again darkness happens when light leaves an area, which actually would occur at the same speed as light.

    Aha! Captain W isn't so dumb after all.

  5. Anonymous Anonymous 

    And why would anybody want to find us? Just asking ... ;)

  6. Anonymous Anonymous 

    If you watch the first 3 minutes of the film, "Contact" you will get a really interesting take on the relative sizes and spaces of things in our universe. It's brilliant and worth the price of admission alone.

    I thought your argument was very compelling and wildly interesting. Proverbially the needle in the haystack. However, as discussed in "Contact," and equally well-presented in Carl Sagan's book "Cosmos," there is also the idea that we have been broadcasting discrete radio transmissions (including video signals) out into the void of space for the better part of a century. Sort of like lighting up a beacon admidst the background radiation, it would make us more noticeable than the surrounding star systems. I'm not sure to what degree this influences our chances of being "noticed" mathematically, but surely it increases it in some amount.

    Also, we have sent out a few space probes that tell would-be stellarnauts things about humanity, including information about where we reside. See: The Aricebo Message, The Pioneer Plaque, and The Voyager Golden Record.

    That having been said, I should however, point out that any reasonably large number multiplied by any incredibly small fraction still produces a very, very small number. i.e. One-millionth of One Million is One. It's still highly improbable that we have had contact with another extraterrestrial civilization.

    Unless of course, there are TONS spacefaring civilizations out there, and we're still just too primitive to see them. Add to this the fact that any semi-intelligent race would look at the bulk of our popular culture and history and run the other f*cking way; most likely marking us as "do not disturb" to anyone else out there.

    Still, I can't help hoping for Peaceful First Contact (PFC). It would change our perspective on so many things. And hopefully would usher us into a more enlightened age. It's been 55 years since the film "The Day The Earth Stood Still," was released (one of my favorites), yet I can't help but think in many ways, we're not much farther along than that depiction.

    I'm just sayin'.

    Then again, maybe I just watch too many movies?

  7. Anonymous Anonymous 

    No way ;)

  8. Anonymous Anonymous 

    Interesting stuff. I loved the movie contact, but even that sequence doesn't really do the distance (and the relative sizes of things) justice. There's a wonderful piece of software, I think call celestus or something like that, that lets you fly around in the universe. It is so interesting to fly at the speed of light and the stars, instead of zipping past, like in Star Trek, DO NOT EVEN MOVE. That's how slow the speed of light is relative to the distances.

    The Voyager probes are still in our own solar system, or just barely out of it, depending on what you read. The Sun's grasp isn't really understood very well, and in the great scheme of things, they are still in our front yard.

    The radio signals are another exciting prospect for contact. But from what I understand, the signal gets weaker and weaker as it travels outward from us, sort of like a balloon gets thinner and thinner as it expands. It takes a seriously powerful signal to travel a great distance, and I doubt our signals 100 years ago have the guts to get very far before being absorbed by the dust and crap between us and the stars.

    One other slightly discouraging thing about extra terrestrial contact that I didn't mention is the time factor. Not only do we have to deal with how far away a civilization might be, but WHEN it might be. The Universe is about 15 billion years old, and civilizations probably don't last forever. My guess is maybe 1000 years before they self destruct or wreck their planet, that means we'd have to not only be close, but exist at the same time as another civilization. In 15 billion years, the chances are slim of we ourselves happening at the same time as somebody else AND be close by.

    But, maybe there is a star 50 light years away, who heard us and has been spending the last fifty years coming to visit. That would be very cool.

    D

  9. Anonymous Anonymous 

    s

  10. Anonymous Anonymous 

    s

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